Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.005342 0.005893 0.006490 0.007187 0.007980 0.008858 0.009908
2025-09-28 0.004358 0.005097 0.005960 0.007049 0.008399 0.010037 0.012198
2025-10-05 0.003849 0.004679 0.005696 0.007050 0.008835 0.011146 0.014429
2025-10-12 0.003543 0.004442 0.005588 0.007185 0.009400 0.012434 0.017040
2025-10-19 0.003227 0.004146 0.005356 0.007104 0.009632 0.013266 0.019104
2025-10-26 0.002980 0.003911 0.005170 0.007050 0.009874 0.014114 0.021298
2025-11-02 0.002755 0.003681 0.004965 0.006937 0.009998 0.014780 0.023284
2025-11-09 0.002606 0.003544 0.004875 0.006975 0.010347 0.015828 0.026075
2025-11-16 0.002446 0.003376 0.004724 0.006901 0.010501 0.016563 0.028424
2025-11-23 0.002280 0.003188 0.004526 0.006732 0.010473 0.016973 0.030222
2025-11-30 0.002189 0.003104 0.004479 0.006797 0.010844 0.018130 0.033698
2025-12-07 0.002145 0.003087 0.004531 0.007028 0.011524 0.019943 0.038915
2025-12-14 0.002016 0.002935 0.004366 0.006888 0.011542 0.020536 0.041699
2025-12-21 0.001900 0.002796 0.004213 0.006759 0.011573 0.021168 0.044761
2025-12-28 0.001819 0.002710 0.004140 0.006761 0.011848 0.022344 0.049442
2026-01-04 0.001769 0.002668 0.004137 0.006889 0.012384 0.024161 0.056291
2026-01-11 0.001687 0.002569 0.004029 0.006812 0.012495 0.025045 0.060851
2026-01-18 0.001616 0.002484 0.003940 0.006761 0.012652 0.026062 0.066107
2026-01-25 0.001541 0.002388 0.003826 0.006653 0.012674 0.026755 0.070590
2026-02-01 0.001494 0.002337 0.003788 0.006690 0.013016 0.028297 0.078343
2026-02-08 0.001435 0.002262 0.003701 0.006620 0.013109 0.029220 0.084330
2026-02-15 0.001366 0.002167 0.003573 0.006459 0.012976 0.029523 0.088213
2026-02-22 0.001333 0.002133 0.003555 0.006521 0.013374 0.031347 0.098577